Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 6.381780 7.437702 8.579412 9.901416 11.385648 12.996168 14.871365
2026-02-08 4.746135 6.102870 7.685438 9.651621 12.011581 14.735257 18.097354
2026-02-15 3.721977 5.176948 6.978288 9.339918 12.318836 15.914112 20.539834
2026-02-22 3.151397 4.684199 6.678518 9.410316 12.995502 17.476783 23.429476
2026-03-01 2.703870 4.271078 6.403886 9.441327 13.567914 18.883526 26.138153
2026-03-08 2.362618 3.948655 6.197872 9.515430 14.163035 20.309622 28.897076
2026-03-15 2.064385 3.643235 5.972027 9.521967 14.638449 21.570211 31.462131
2026-03-22 1.881730 3.486502 5.937305 9.782087 15.460771 23.313779 34.722714
2026-03-29 1.710988 3.324315 5.872395 9.980765 16.190333 24.943677 37.873164
2026-04-05 1.531390 3.122741 5.722722 10.030585 16.691144 26.257362 40.616020
2026-04-12 1.309248 2.817086 5.374124 9.737941 16.651246 26.779585 42.241224
2026-04-19 1.130805 2.564775 5.086041 9.512244 16.687678 27.397442 44.005757
2026-04-26 0.968236 2.321235 4.791278 9.255245 16.662889 27.927932 45.673589
2026-05-03 0.830701 2.106108 4.523481 9.018779 16.649789 28.465559 47.360310
2026-05-10 0.704618 1.894051 4.237515 8.723950 16.516135 28.800490 48.739049
2026-05-17 0.637976 1.799582 4.161590 8.790527 16.977968 30.070142 51.569480
2026-05-24 0.574692 1.702639 4.070339 8.819857 17.373053 31.242027 54.277936
2026-05-31 0.522417 1.623100 4.005078 8.889947 17.836791 32.533932 57.204906
2026-06-07 0.469805 1.533973 3.910684 8.896130 18.185017 33.645287 59.873875
2026-06-14 0.442857 1.505785 3.940965 9.142207 18.965888 35.486177 63.747492
2026-06-21 0.413369 1.466166 3.942435 9.330204 19.647889 37.181325 67.428539
2026-06-28 0.376109 1.398923 3.876214 9.377351 20.072907 38.456668 70.460698
2026-07-05 0.321259 1.270852 3.658803 9.100440 19.883475 38.682869 71.782366